Area Forecast Discussion

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 627 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

- Hot and dry weather is expected through the end of July.

- Rising temperatures this week may lead to increasing heat risks.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Subtropical ridging remains in control over west Texas/eastern NM for the start of the upcoming week. Temperatures will climb further on Monday, with highs back in the upper 90s for most locations as a slow and steady climb back to widespread triple digits is expected through the upcoming week. There may be a slim shot a few showers over the Coastal Plains the next couple evenings, but for now, have opted to keep PoPs out of the forecast as confidence in this is quite low.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Tuesday through Friday will feature a strengthening Subtropical ridging over the Texas Panhandle, with south central Texas on the southern edge. This will result in continued hot and dry weather through the final week of July. Temperatures will steadily climb into the 100-105 range by late week, and there is the potential for heat related products by that time. The pattern may start to break down by next weekend, with ridging sliding further west towards the Four Corners. This may open the door for northerly flow which could result in increased rain chances. For now, the forecast remains hot and dry.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 627 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

TAFs will likely follow a typical summer diurnal trend with subtle AM to PM wind direction changes from S to SE over I-35 sites and E to SE over DRT. A few low MVFR clouds are still hanging around SAT/SSF for around 5-8 hours, with a smaller period of daybreak stratus at AUS. Wind speed trends may show a few more gusts Monday afternoon versus this afternoon and evening, based on MOS guidances.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

EWX WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES

None.