Area Forecast Discussion

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Letterhead and timestamp

000 FXZS60 NSTU 300140 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 240 PM SST Thu Oct 29 2026

DISCUSSION

Model data continues to show a high pressure system to the southeast exiting the region further east, as winds decrease to a gentle east flow. Models also show another high pressure system to the southwest migrating east. As this scenario comes to play, winds will build again and peak to a strong southeast breeze by the new week. for the rest of the week, fair weather patterns will remain with a gentle breeze for this time. These conditions are further supported by the stable atmospheric profile shown on the latest upper air sounding (30/00Z).

By Saturday night into the new week, the latter aforementioned high pressure will move south of the area as it produces fresh to strong trades. This high pressure system will also continue to hold a trough to the north and west of the area throughout the long term forecast period. Thus, expect scattered to numerous showers with fresh to strong breeze to dominate weather patterns for the new week.

Marine

Seas continue to subside to favorable conditions and remain through at least Saturday night. By Sunday, model data show seas building and peaking at the end of the period (Tuesday) as winds increase to a strong breeze. The threat of hazardous seas and high surfs, and the risk of rip currents remains low. Thus, the advisory for small crafts is now cancelled.

PPG WATCHES / WARNINGS / ADVISORIES

Small Craft Advisory Cancelled

JTAllen