Risk Overview

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Seven-day Weather Risk Overview

The graphic shows the daily risk summary for 7 days. Daily risk is based on highest risk factor for that day.

	Thu 6/11	Fri 6/12	Sat 6/13	Sun 6/14	Mon 6/15	Tue 6/16	Wed 6/17
risk level	4.0 out of 10	6.0 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	4.0 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10

No risk

Low risk

High risk

Risk Factors

The graphic shows the weather factors that have some risk for the next 7 days. Click on the colored boxes to see what the risk factors is based on and what impact it may have.

	Thu 6/11	Fri 6/12	Sat 6/13	Sun 6/14	Mon 6/15	Tue 6/16	Wed 6/17
ExtremeHeat						ExtremeHeat: risk level 0	ExtremeHeat: risk level 0
Lightning Risk
Thunderstorm Wind Risk			Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0
Severe Thunderstorm Risk			Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0
Excessive Rainfall Risk	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0		Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0

No impact in 5 other categories: Tornado Risk, Hail Risk, Wind Risk, Fog Risk, Fire Weather Risk

Thursday: ExtremeHeat

2:

Risk Map

Thursday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Friday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Saturday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Sunday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Monday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Tuesday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Wednesday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Thursday: Thunderstorm Wind Risk

1: Marginal

Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Thunderstorm Wind Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45-60% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	60% or greater chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Friday: Thunderstorm Wind Risk

1: Marginal

Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Thunderstorm Wind Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45-60% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	60% or greater chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Thursday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

1: Marginal

Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.
2:Slight	Scattered severe thunderstorms possible.
3:Enhanced	Numerous severe thunderstorms possible.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe thunderstorms likely.
5:High	Widespread severe thunderstorms expected.

Friday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

1: Marginal

Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.
2:Slight	Scattered severe thunderstorms possible.
3:Enhanced	Numerous severe thunderstorms possible.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe thunderstorms likely.
5:High	Widespread severe thunderstorms expected.

Friday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

1: Limited

Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.