Risk Overview

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Seven-day Weather Risk Overview

The graphic shows the daily risk summary for 7 days. Daily risk is based on highest risk factor for that day.

	Thu 6/11	Fri 6/12	Sat 6/13	Sun 6/14	Mon 6/15	Tue 6/16	Wed 6/17
risk level	6.7 out of 10	7.5 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	4.0 out of 10			3.3000000000000003 out of 10

No risk

Low risk

High risk

Risk Factors

The graphic shows the weather factors that have some risk for the next 7 days. Click on the colored boxes to see what the risk factors is based on and what impact it may have.

	Thu 6/11	Fri 6/12	Sat 6/13	Sun 6/14	Mon 6/15	Tue 6/16	Wed 6/17
Severe Thunderstorm Risk			Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0		Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0
Extreme Heat Risk			Extreme Heat Risk: risk level 0	Extreme Heat Risk: risk level 0	Extreme Heat Risk: risk level 0	Extreme Heat Risk: risk level 0	Extreme Heat Risk: risk level 0
Rip Current Risk			Rip Current Risk: risk level 0	Rip Current Risk: risk level 0	Rip Current Risk: risk level 0	Rip Current Risk: risk level 0	Rip Current Risk: risk level 0
Lightning Risk			Lightning Risk: risk level 0		Lightning Risk: risk level 0	Lightning Risk: risk level 0
Thunderstorm Wind Risk			Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0
Coastal Flood Risk	Coastal Flood Risk: risk level 0	Coastal Flood Risk: risk level 0			Coastal Flood Risk: risk level 0	Coastal Flood Risk: risk level 0	Coastal Flood Risk: risk level 0
Excessive Rainfall Risk			Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0
Hail Risk		Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0
Wind Risk	Wind Risk: risk level 0	Wind Risk: risk level 0	Wind Risk: risk level 0		Wind Risk: risk level 0	Wind Risk: risk level 0	Wind Risk: risk level 0

No impact in 5 other categories: Tornado Risk, Fog Risk, Fire Weather Risk, High Surf Risk, Marine Hazard Risk

Thursday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

2: Slight

Isolated to scattered severe storms possible, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once or twice a year.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe storms possible, similar to storms your area may experience a few times a year.
2:Slight	Isolated to scattered severe storms possible, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once or twice a year.
3:Enhanced	Scattered to numerous severe storms expected, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once per year or less.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe storms likely. Very intense storms your area may experience once or twice in a lifetime.
5:High	Widespread severe storms expected. Very intense storms your area may experience once or twice in a lifetime.

Friday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

2: Slight

Isolated to scattered severe storms possible, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once or twice a year.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe storms possible, similar to storms your area may experience a few times a year.
2:Slight	Isolated to scattered severe storms possible, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once or twice a year.
3:Enhanced	Scattered to numerous severe storms expected, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once per year or less.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe storms likely. Very intense storms your area may experience once or twice in a lifetime.
5:High	Widespread severe storms expected. Very intense storms your area may experience once or twice in a lifetime.

Sunday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

2: Slight

Isolated to scattered severe storms possible, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once or twice a year.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe storms possible, similar to storms your area may experience a few times a year.
2:Slight	Isolated to scattered severe storms possible, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once or twice a year.
3:Enhanced	Scattered to numerous severe storms expected, similar to intense storms your area may only experience once per year or less.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe storms likely. Very intense storms your area may experience once or twice in a lifetime.
5:High	Widespread severe storms expected. Very intense storms your area may experience once or twice in a lifetime.

Thursday: Extreme Heat Risk

2: Elevated

Heat exhaustion likely with prolonged exposure. Heat stroke possible. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperatures 95 to 99.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office temperature and/or heat index forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Extreme Heat Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Heat exhaustion possible with prolonged exposure. Be aware to stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperature 90 to 94.
2:Elevated	Heat exhaustion likely with prolonged exposure. Heat stroke possible. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperatures 95 to 99.
3:Significant	Heat exhaustion or heat stroke likely with prolonged exposure. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperature 100 to 104.
4:Extreme	Dangerously hot conditions could quickly result in heat exhaustion or heat stroke. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations. Maximum Apparent Temperature greater or equal to 105.

Friday: Extreme Heat Risk

3: Significant

Heat exhaustion or heat stroke likely with prolonged exposure. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperature 100 to 104.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office temperature and/or heat index forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Extreme Heat Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Heat exhaustion possible with prolonged exposure. Be aware to stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperature 90 to 94.
2:Elevated	Heat exhaustion likely with prolonged exposure. Heat stroke possible. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperatures 95 to 99.
3:Significant	Heat exhaustion or heat stroke likely with prolonged exposure. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations if needed. Maximum Apparent Temperature 100 to 104.
4:Extreme	Dangerously hot conditions could quickly result in heat exhaustion or heat stroke. Stay hydrated and seek air conditioned locations. Maximum Apparent Temperature greater or equal to 105.

Thursday: Rip Current Risk

2: Moderate

Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the surf zone.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office rip current risk forecasts. These consider swell height/period, wind speed/direction, and other parameters.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Rip Current Risk

risk level name	risk level description
2:Moderate	Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the surf zone.
3:High	Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf zone.

Friday: Rip Current Risk

2: Moderate

Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the surf zone.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office rip current risk forecasts. These consider swell height/period, wind speed/direction, and other parameters.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Rip Current Risk

risk level name	risk level description
2:Moderate	Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the surf zone.
3:High	Life-threatening rip currents are likely in the surf zone.

Thursday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Friday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Sunday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Wednesday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Thursday: Thunderstorm Wind Risk

2: Slight

15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Thunderstorm Wind Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45-60% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	60% or greater chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Friday: Thunderstorm Wind Risk

2: Slight

15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Thunderstorm Wind Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45-60% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	60% or greater chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Saturday: Coastal Flood Risk

1: Minor

Minor Coastal Flooding expected. 1 to 2 feet of inundation in shoreline and vulnerable areas. A few shoreline and vulnerable roadways and adjacent properties will experience shallow flooding. There is a low threat of property damage. There is no direct threat to life.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office water level forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Coastal Flood Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Minor	Minor Coastal Flooding expected. 1 to 2 feet of inundation in shoreline and vulnerable areas. A few shoreline and vulnerable roadways and adjacent properties will experience shallow flooding. There is a low threat of property damage. There is no direct threat to life.
2:Moderate	Moderate Coastal Flooding expected. 2 to 3 feet of inundation in shoreline and vulnerable areas. There is an elevated threat of property damage, with a risk to life if one places themselves in unnecessary danger. Several shoreline and vulnerable area homes and businesses will experience water inside. Several low-lying coastal and shoreline roads will be closed. A few cars may take on water or even be destroyed.
3:Major	Major Coastal Flooding expected. 3 to 5+ feet of inundation in shoreline and vulnerable areas, with 1 to 3 feet of inundation in surrounding coastal communities that rarely experience coastal flooding. Evacuations will be necessary for shoreline and vulnerable coastal areas due to a life threatening flooding threat. Many coastal communities will experience damage, with some shoreline and flood prone homes and businesses being destroyed. Many cars will likely be submerged or washed away. Several sections of nearshore roads and escape routes will be impassable and a few could be washed out. Flood waters may extend well inland in low lying areas.

Sunday: Coastal Flood Risk

1: Minor

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office water level forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Coastal Flood Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Minor	Minor Coastal Flooding expected. 1 to 2 feet of inundation in shoreline and vulnerable areas. A few shoreline and vulnerable roadways and adjacent properties will experience shallow flooding. There is a low threat of property damage. There is no direct threat to life.
2:Moderate	Moderate Coastal Flooding expected. 2 to 3 feet of inundation in shoreline and vulnerable areas. There is an elevated threat of property damage, with a risk to life if one places themselves in unnecessary danger. Several shoreline and vulnerable area homes and businesses will experience water inside. Several low-lying coastal and shoreline roads will be closed. A few cars may take on water or even be destroyed.
3:Major	Major Coastal Flooding expected. 3 to 5+ feet of inundation in shoreline and vulnerable areas, with 1 to 3 feet of inundation in surrounding coastal communities that rarely experience coastal flooding. Evacuations will be necessary for shoreline and vulnerable coastal areas due to a life threatening flooding threat. Many coastal communities will experience damage, with some shoreline and flood prone homes and businesses being destroyed. Many cars will likely be submerged or washed away. Several sections of nearshore roads and escape routes will be impassable and a few could be washed out. Flood waters may extend well inland in low lying areas.

Thursday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

1: Limited

Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.

Friday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

1: Limited

Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.

Thursday: Hail Risk

1: Marginal

Up to 15% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Hail Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45% or greater chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.

Sunday: Wind Risk

1: Limited

Breezy conditions could blow around unsecured items and result in hazardous driving conditions for high-profile vehicles. Sustained winds 20-30 mph or gusts 30-45 mph.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office wind speed/gust forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Wind Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Breezy conditions could blow around unsecured items and result in hazardous driving conditions for high-profile vehicles. Sustained winds 20-30 mph or gusts 30-45 mph.
2:Elevated	Windy conditions could damage outdoor items and result in hazardous driving conditions for high-profile vehicles. Power outages are possible. Sustained winds 31-39 mph or gusts 46-57 mph.
3:Significant	Very windy conditions could blow down trees. Power outages likely. Sustained winds 40-49 mph or gusts 58-64 mph.
4:Extreme	Extremely windy conditions will damage numerous trees and cause widespread power outages. Sustained winds greater than 50 mph or gusts greater than 65 mph.