Risk Overview

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Seven-day Weather Risk Overview

The graphic shows the daily risk summary for 7 days. Daily risk is based on highest risk factor for that day.

	Thu 6/11	Fri 6/12	Sat 6/13	Sun 6/14	Mon 6/15	Tue 6/16	Wed 6/17
risk level	5.0 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	2.0 out of 10	2.0 out of 10	2.0 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10

No risk

Low risk

High risk

Risk Factors

The graphic shows the weather factors that have some risk for the next 7 days. Click on the colored boxes to see what the risk factors is based on and what impact it may have.

	Thu 6/11	Fri 6/12	Sat 6/13	Sun 6/14	Mon 6/15	Tue 6/16	Wed 6/17
FireWeather
Lightning Risk	Lightning Risk: risk level 0			Lightning Risk: risk level 0	Lightning Risk: risk level 0	Lightning Risk: risk level 0
Excessive Rainfall Risk		Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0		Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0
Severe Thunderstorm Risk	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0		Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0

No impact in 8 other categories: Tornado Risk, Thunderstorm Wind Risk, Hail Risk, Spotter Outlook, Extreme Heat Risk, Wind Risk, Fog Risk, Grassland Fire Danger Index (GFDI)

Thursday: FireWeather

1:

Risk Map

Friday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Saturday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Wednesday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Thursday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

2: Elevated

Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.

Saturday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

1: Limited

Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.

Saturday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

1: Marginal

Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.

Determining Risk

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk Map

Risk Levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.
2:Slight	Scattered severe thunderstorms possible.
3:Enhanced	Numerous severe thunderstorms possible.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe thunderstorms likely.
5:High	Widespread severe thunderstorms expected.