Risk overview

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Seven-day weather risk overview

Daily weather risk summary

	Mon 5/18	Tue 5/19	Wed 5/20	Thu 5/21	Fri 5/22	Sat 5/23	Sun 5/24
risk level	10 out of 10	6.7 out of 10		3.3000000000000003 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10	3.3000000000000003 out of 10

No risk

Low risk

High risk

What factors are driving the risk?

The graphic shows the weather factors that have some risk for the next 7 days. Click on the colored boxes to see what the risk factors is based on and what impact it may have.

	Mon 5/18	Tue 5/19	Wed 5/20	Thu 5/21	Fri 5/22	Sat 5/23	Sun 5/24
Lightning Risk			Lightning Risk: risk level 0
Thunderstorm Wind Risk			Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0	Thunderstorm Wind Risk: risk level 0
Severe Thunderstorm Risk			Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0	Severe Thunderstorm Risk: risk level 0
Excessive Rainfall Risk			Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0
Hail Risk			Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0	Hail Risk: risk level 0
Fire Weather Risk			Fire Weather Risk: risk level 0	Fire Weather Risk: risk level 0	Fire Weather Risk: risk level 0	Fire Weather Risk: risk level 0	Fire Weather Risk: risk level 0
Tornado Risk		Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0
Spotter Outlook		Spotter Outlook: risk level 0	Spotter Outlook: risk level 0	Spotter Outlook: risk level 0	Spotter Outlook: risk level 0	Spotter Outlook: risk level 0	Spotter Outlook: risk level 0

No impact in 7 other categories: Extreme Heat Risk, Wind Risk, Frost/Freeze Risk, Fog Risk, Extreme Cold Risk, Ice Accumulation Risk, Snow/Sleet Risk

Monday: Lightning Risk

2: Elevated

Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Tuesday: Lightning Risk

2: Elevated

Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Thursday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Friday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Saturday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Sunday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Monday: Thunderstorm Wind Risk

2: Slight

15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Thunderstorm Wind Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45-60% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	60% or greater chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Tuesday: Thunderstorm Wind Risk

2: Slight

15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Thunderstorm Wind Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45-60% chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	60% or greater chance of severe wind gusts (58 mph or greater) with a 10% or greater chance of extreme wind gusts (74 mph or greater) within 25 miles of your location.

Monday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

2: Slight

Scattered severe thunderstorms possible.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.
2:Slight	Scattered severe thunderstorms possible.
3:Enhanced	Numerous severe thunderstorms possible.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe thunderstorms likely.
5:High	Widespread severe thunderstorms expected.

Tuesday: Severe Thunderstorm Risk

2: Slight

Scattered severe thunderstorms possible.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Severe Thunderstorm Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Isolated severe thunderstorms possible.
2:Slight	Scattered severe thunderstorms possible.
3:Enhanced	Numerous severe thunderstorms possible.
4:Moderate	Widespread severe thunderstorms likely.
5:High	Widespread severe thunderstorms expected.

Monday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

2: Elevated

Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk map

Risk levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.

Tuesday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

1: Limited

Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk map

Risk levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.

Monday: Hail Risk

1: Marginal

Up to 15% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Hail Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45% or greater chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.

Tuesday: Hail Risk

1: Marginal

Up to 15% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Hail Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 15% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	15-30% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	30-45% chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	45% or greater chance of 1" or larger hail within 25 miles of your location.

Monday: Fire Weather Risk

1: Limited

Low humidity and breezy conditions will result in an increased danger of fires getting out of control.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office forecasts of combined relative humidity, winds, and wind gusts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Fire Weather Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Low humidity and breezy conditions will result in an increased danger of fires getting out of control.
2:Elevated	Low humidity and windy conditions will create dangerous fire conditions. Fires can escape control more easily and be difficult to contain.
3:Significant	High winds and extended dry periods will produce extreme burning conditions. Open fires can quickly escape and are very difficult to control, even for experienced fire fighters.
4:Extreme	Very strong winds, combined with low humidity, will create extremely volatile conditions. Fires will spread very quickly with spot fires common. Fire control will be extremely difficult.

Tuesday: Fire Weather Risk

1: Limited

Low humidity and breezy conditions will result in an increased danger of fires getting out of control.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office forecasts of combined relative humidity, winds, and wind gusts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Fire Weather Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Low humidity and breezy conditions will result in an increased danger of fires getting out of control.
2:Elevated	Low humidity and windy conditions will create dangerous fire conditions. Fires can escape control more easily and be difficult to contain.
3:Significant	High winds and extended dry periods will produce extreme burning conditions. Open fires can quickly escape and are very difficult to control, even for experienced fire fighters.
4:Extreme	Very strong winds, combined with low humidity, will create extremely volatile conditions. Fires will spread very quickly with spot fires common. Fire control will be extremely difficult.

Monday: Tornado Risk

1: Marginal

Up to 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Tornado Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	5-10% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	10-15% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	15-30% or greater chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	30% or greater chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.

Monday: Spotter Outlook

1: Spotter Activation

Severe thunderstorms will be possible later today or tonight.

Risk map

Risk levels

Spotter Outlook

risk level name	risk level description
1:Spotter Activation	Severe thunderstorms will be possible later today or tonight.