Risk overview

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Seven-day weather risk overview

Daily weather risk summary

	Tue 4/21	Wed 4/22	Thu 4/23	Fri 4/24	Sat 4/25	Sun 4/26	Mon 4/27
risk level	10 out of 10	10 out of 10	10 out of 10	5.0 out of 10	5.0 out of 10	10 out of 10	7.5 out of 10

No risk

Low risk

High risk

What factors are driving the risk?

The graphic shows the weather factors that have some risk for the next 7 days. Click on the colored boxes to see what the risk factors is based on and what impact it may have.

	Tue 4/21	Wed 4/22	Thu 4/23	Fri 4/24	Sat 4/25	Sun 4/26	Mon 4/27
Tornado Risk		Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0	Tornado Risk: risk level 0
Lightning Risk			Lightning Risk: risk level 0	Lightning Risk: risk level 0		Lightning Risk: risk level 0	Lightning Risk: risk level 0
Frost/Freeze Risk
Excessive Rainfall Risk		Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0	Excessive Rainfall Risk: risk level 0

No impact in 7 other categories: Severe Thunderstorm Risk, Thunderstorm Wind Risk, Hail Risk, Extreme Heat Risk, Wind Risk, Fog Risk, Fire Weather Risk

Tuesday: Tornado Risk

1: Marginal

Up to 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on daily forecasts from the Storm Prediction Center.

Risk map

Risk levels

Tornado Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Marginal	Up to 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
2:Slight	5-10% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
3:Enhanced	10-15% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
4:Moderate	15-30% or greater chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.
5:High	30% or greater chance of a tornado within 25 miles of your location.

Tuesday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Wednesday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Saturday: Lightning Risk

1: Limited

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office thunderstorm forecasts.

Risk map

Risk levels

Lightning Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
2:Elevated	Numerous thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.
3:Significant	Widespread thunderstorms with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning expected.

Tuesday: Frost/Freeze Risk

4: Extreme

A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office temperature forecasts and other frost/freeze criteria.

Risk map

Risk levels

Frost/Freeze Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Frost could cause minor damage to unprotected vegetation.
2:Elevated	A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.
3:Significant	A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.
4:Extreme	A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

Wednesday: Frost/Freeze Risk

4: Extreme

A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office temperature forecasts and other frost/freeze criteria.

Risk map

Risk levels

Frost/Freeze Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Frost could cause minor damage to unprotected vegetation.
2:Elevated	A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.
3:Significant	A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.
4:Extreme	A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

Thursday: Frost/Freeze Risk

4: Extreme

A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office temperature forecasts and other frost/freeze criteria.

Risk map

Risk levels

Frost/Freeze Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Frost could cause minor damage to unprotected vegetation.
2:Elevated	A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.
3:Significant	A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.
4:Extreme	A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

Friday: Frost/Freeze Risk

2: Elevated

A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office temperature forecasts and other frost/freeze criteria.

Risk map

Risk levels

Frost/Freeze Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Frost could cause minor damage to unprotected vegetation.
2:Elevated	A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.
3:Significant	A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.
4:Extreme	A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

Saturday: Frost/Freeze Risk

2: Elevated

A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office temperature forecasts and other frost/freeze criteria.

Risk map

Risk levels

Frost/Freeze Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Frost could cause minor damage to unprotected vegetation.
2:Elevated	A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.
3:Significant	A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.
4:Extreme	A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

Sunday: Frost/Freeze Risk

4: Extreme

A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office temperature forecasts and other frost/freeze criteria.

Risk map

Risk levels

Frost/Freeze Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Frost could cause minor damage to unprotected vegetation.
2:Elevated	A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.
3:Significant	A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.
4:Extreme	A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

Monday: Frost/Freeze Risk

3: Significant

A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on local weather office temperature forecasts and other frost/freeze criteria.

Risk map

Risk levels

Frost/Freeze Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Frost could cause minor damage to unprotected vegetation.
2:Elevated	A light freeze could damage unprotected vegetation.
3:Significant	A moderate freeze could cause significant damage to unprotected vegetation.
4:Extreme	A hard freeze could cause catastrophic damage to unprotected vegetation.

Tuesday: Excessive Rainfall Risk

1: Limited

Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.

What is this based on?

We base this risk on the excessive rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. You can learn more about excessive rainfall on their website.

Risk map

Risk levels

Excessive Rainfall Risk

risk level name	risk level description
1:Limited	Isolated flash floods possible. Most flooding will be localized to areas that can experience rapid runoff with heavy rainfall.
2:Elevated	Scattered flash floods possible, some potentially significant. Most vulnerable are urban areas, roads, small streams, and washes.
3:Significant	Numerous flash floods including some significant events likely. Many streams may flood, affecting nearby residential and urban areas.
4:Extreme	Widespread, severe flash floods expected. Events could occur in areas that don't normally flood. Lives and property in greater danger.