Area Forecast Discussion

KEY MESSAGES

* Fair weather and warmer temperatures are expected through this weekend.

* Very warm temperatures possible early next week

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Wednesday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Clear skies and dry conditions are expected through the forecast period due to a combination of zonal flow transitioning to upper level ridging. Daytime temperatures will be in the mid 80s through the weekend, after which the ridge takes over and temperatures are expected to climb to the mid 90s for the first half of next week. Overnight lows tonight will be in the 40s, with a few of the usual cold spots in Elko county dropping into the 30s. Low temperatures will also be impacted by the ridge, with overnight temperatures rising into the upper 40s by Friday night and into the 50s by Monday night. Typical afternoon breezes will be present through Monday, with slightly stronger winds shaping up for Elko county on Tuesday and Wednesday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence for dry and warming conditions through the end of the forecast. No changes were made to base NBM output.

AVIATION

VFR conditions and light winds expected through the next 24 hours.

FIRE WEATHER

Quiet weather through the forecast period will prevent fire concerns from thunder or wind. Elevated temperatures and dry conditions will be the biggest fire weather factor during this time, with temperatures reaching the mid 90s for the first half of next week with widespread min RH values as low as 5% during that period.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.